2014 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 30, 2014

This pick was released to clients on November 27, 2014 at 4:42PM ET.


Carolina at Minnesota

Sunday 11/30 01:00 PM Eastern

1.5 units on Carolina +2.5 (-110) (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)  RESULT: loss

1 unit on Game Total OVER 42 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)  RESULT: win

Carolina is a half-game out of first in the division no one wants to win. The Panthers are off a bye week and the defense gets a boost as ball-hawking BenĂ© Benwikere is back in the Carolina Panthers' secondary, returning to his starting role this week. The Panthers are 15-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, and 15-7 ATS on the road against a team with a losing home record. Minnesota has a losing record at home and rookie quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has been sacked 22 times behind an offensive line that lost right tackle Phil Loadholt to a season-ending pectoral injury in Sunday's loss to Green Bay. Last place Minnesota is #14 in the NFL in rushing after losing star RB Adrian Peterson, and the defense is #21 against the run, which Carolina likes to do. When they met last year the Panthers rolled to a 35-10 win that helped save Ron Rivera's job and the season. Under Rivera, this team is 11-3 ATS vs. bad teams (.400 or worse). In addition, this is a low total for an NFL game especially considering the Panthers allow 34.4 per game on the road and Minnesota 25 per game at home. Carolina is 4-0 OVER the total on the road and 9-4 OVER after a defeat. Minnesota is 9-4 OVER the total at home against a team with a losing road record. Take the points and take the OVER. 

Panthers 3 3 7 0 13
Vikings 14 14 0 3 31



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