2008 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 23, 2008


Carolina at Atlanta

Sunday 11/23 04:15 PM Eastern

3 units on Atlanta +1.5 (-109) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: WIN

Atlanta dropped a tough game at home vs. Denver last week. One thing this team has been able to do is shake off a loss and come storming back the next week. The Falcons are 3-0 SU and ATS after a loss with a margin of winning of 17 ppg. I expect the Falcons to bring it here, especially given that this game is a huge measuring stick against the 8-2 Panthers. Yes, the Panthers are 8-2, but they have not beaten anyone of significance on the road all season. In their last game against Oakland on the road they were lucky to come away with a win, as they turned the ball over continuously. Atlanta is not Oakland and a similar performance will get the Panthers blown out of the building. Carolina scored just 30 points in their last three road games at Minnesota, Oakland and Tampa Bay. The three-game offensive output is not pretty as the Panthers totalled 705 yards, or just 235 yards per game. The Carolina defense has been stiff, but allows nearly 4 yards per carry on the ground. The Falcons should be able to move the chains, as their running game at home has been unstoppable, producing 160.4 ypg. This is a statement game for the Falcons, and the Panthers have shown vulnerability on the road. I'll grab the Falcons to get it done here.



Last 20.2 years

Wins Losses Units
2379 2089 +209.59

with detailed analysis