2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 11, 2015

11

Buffalo at Tennessee

Sunday 10/11 01:00 PM Eastern

1.5 units on Game Total OVER 41.5 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)  RESULT: LOSS

The Buffalo Bills were slated to be a strong defensive team, but things unraveled vs. Tom Brady and the Patriots, as they were hit with a 40 spot. Tennessee has not allowed a lot of yards, but poor field position, and a lot of big plays have done a lot of damage as they rank #22 in the league in points allowed per game at 25.7. Both of these teams have been better than average offensively, due to the fact that Tennessee QB Marcus Mariota has figured things out a lot quicker than expected, and Tyrod Taylor has matured into a dangerous duel-threat QB. The Titans are ninth, and the Bills are #13 in yards produced per game, and both have been well above average offensively, playing to a rather low total in this one. In his coaching career, Rex Ryan's teams are 16-5 to the OVER on the road in the first-half of the season. These teams have shown a propensity to push the scoreboard with four of the last five meetings playing OVER the total, and I expect more of the same here. Take the OVER.



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