2009 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 15, 2009
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Buffalo at Tennessee
Sunday 11/15 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Buffalo +9 (-130) (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: LOSS
So much in the NFL is predicated on what happened in the previous week, and that has now taken hold of the Tennessee Titans. This is a team that started 0-6. But two wins vs. San Francisco and Jacksonville has vaulted this team into being a TD favorite? Buffalo is a team that has trouble with big offensive teams, or a team like Miami that runs the wildcat to perfection which is almost a version of a spread offense that is geared towards running not passing. Theys struggled against the No. 1 New Orleans offense, the No. 2 New England offense and the No. 8 Houston offense as well as Miami as mentioned above. But, the teams with mediocre offenses have not been a problem for Buffalo. The remaining four teams on their schedule thus far scored a combined 48 points against the Bills (12 per game). Tennessee fits that category as they are ranked in the bottom third of the league. The Titans’ defense, without Albert Haynesworht, allows nearly 30 ppg and the Bills will get on the board here enough to topple the big number. They have Trent Edwards back under center and they have had two weeks to prepare for this game. Buffalo has thrived over the years vs. losing teams as they are an amazing 26-9-1 ATS against a team with a losing record in their last 36 against them. Under Jeff Fisher, the Titans are 24-36 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. like Buffalo to hang close here.