2004 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 10, 2004
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Buffalo at New York
Sunday 10/10 04:05 PM Eastern
2 units on Buffalo +6.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82) RESULT: win
2 units on Buffalo +240 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 6.8) RESULT: loss
0-3 visits 3-0. The Jets are off to a rare fast start. I'm a believer in Pennington and Herm Edwards but I think Buffalo is (over) due. They really should have covered and possibly won last week vs. a very good New England team. The game was much closer than the final score indicated as Buffalo blew a game-tying drive on a Bledsoe fumble that New England returned for a touchdown. The Jet's haven't played much in terms of competition (Cincinnati, San Diego and Miami). These three teams are a combined 3-8 SU and ATS. Meanwhile, Buffalo has played Jacksonville, Oakland and New England (a combined 8-3 SU and 7-3-1 ATS). Buffalo's defense is top 10. Medium-sized underdogs scoring 14 or less per game after scoring 17 or less three games in a row cover the spread about 7 out of 10 times. Also after week 4, big home dogs that haven't won much on the season bite back hard as they scrap to get their first W. One unit on Buffalo +6.5 and one on them to steal the game straight up.