2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 23, 2015


Buffalo at New England

Monday 11/23 08:30 PM Eastern

1 unit on New England -7 (+100) (risk 1 to return 2)  RESULT: PUSH

The New England Patriots remained perfect at 9-0 as Tom Brady did what he does so well last week, engineering yet another game winning drive making the New York Gants the Pats' ninth victim. They will now play under the bright Mionday lights against division rival Buffalo. If this one is like the last three Patriots Monday Night affairs in Foxboro, the Bills are in trouble as New England has won them by a combined score of 121-20. The Bills were supposed to be a very good defensive team, but that hasn't manifested itself until the last two games, with division wins vs. New York and Miami, allowing each just 17 points. They have been playing better of late, but in the end the Patriots are winning their games by an average of 15 points per game, and I think the odds makers have adjusted this one too much with the loss of Julian Edelman. The Pats are often over-valued on the line, but at home to a line of less than -7.5 the last three years they are 11-2 ATS. This has not been a favorable matchup for the Bills who are 2-22 SU in the last 24 meetings and just 8-15-1 ATS. Buffalo just 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 following a win, while New England now 72-33-2 ATS in their last 107 following a game where they went for over 350 total yards. Make the play on New England.



Last 20.0 years

Wins Losses Units
2330 2048 +201.22

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