2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks
September 27, 2015
This pick was released to clients on September 24, 2015 at 10:13PM ET.
Buffalo at Miami
Sunday 09/27 04:25 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Buffalo +3 (-120) (risk 1.5 to return 2.75) RESULT: WIN
So when are Joe Philbin and the Dolphins going to take that next step? They keep making changes to a bad offensive line and nothing improves. Miami ranks #30 in yards rushing -- their leading rusher is averaging 2.9 ypc, and QB Ryan Tannehill has been sacked five times in two games. They gave Tannehill a speedy WR in Mike Wallace -- and he was a bust, one-and-done last year. Now they bring in NT Suh to improve the run defense, but the Dolphins rank #27 in rush defense, allowing 142 yards per game. There are still a lot of holes on this Miami team and one gets the sense that the wrong people are in charge, from the GM to the coach. The Dolphins are on a 1-6 ATS run, 2-5 ATS at home, and 0-5 ATS against the AFC. Rival Buffalo is in town with a talented all-around team for new coach Rex Ryan, a more known coaching commodity. This D-line for the Bills is expensive -- and talented, leading the NFL in sacks the last two seasons. Ryan is a defensive guy and even the offense looks better, ranked fourth in points (29.5 ppg), just behind the Patriots and just ahead of the mighty Packers. Buffalo is on a 6-2 ATS run, 4-0 ATS after a loss. The wrong team is favored in this divisional showdown, so take the points on Buffalo.
Last 20.4 years
Get FREE NFL PICKS
with detailed analysis