2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks

September 27, 2015

This pick was released to clients on September 24, 2015 at 10:13PM ET.

27

Buffalo at Miami

Sunday 09/27 04:25 PM Eastern

1.5 units on Buffalo +3 (-120) (risk 1.5 to return 2.75)  RESULT: WIN

So when are Joe Philbin and the Dolphins going to take that next step? They keep making changes to a bad offensive line and nothing improves. Miami ranks #30 in yards rushing -- their leading rusher is averaging 2.9 ypc, and QB Ryan Tannehill has been sacked five times in two games. They gave Tannehill a speedy WR in Mike Wallace -- and he was a bust, one-and-done last year. Now they bring in NT Suh to improve the run defense, but the Dolphins rank #27 in rush defense, allowing 142 yards per game. There are still a lot of holes on this Miami team and one gets the sense that the wrong people are in charge, from the GM to the coach. The Dolphins are on a 1-6 ATS run, 2-5 ATS at home, and 0-5 ATS against the AFC. Rival Buffalo is in town with a talented all-around team for new coach Rex Ryan, a more known coaching commodity. This D-line for the Bills is expensive -- and talented, leading the NFL in sacks the last two seasons. Ryan is a defensive guy and even the offense looks better, ranked fourth in points (29.5 ppg), just behind the Patriots and just ahead of the mighty Packers. Buffalo is on a 6-2 ATS run, 4-0 ATS after a loss. The wrong team is favored in this divisional showdown, so take the points on Buffalo.

FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Bills 14 13 0 14 41
Dolphins 0 0 8 6 14

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