2021 Season NFL Football Past Picks

Buffalo must have been reading too many preseason expectations because they were stunned in the opener at home against the Steelers, losing 23-16 as a TD favorite. They allowed 3 sacks, QB Josh Allen was pressured 24 times, they lost the turnover battle, and committed eight penalties for 81 yards. Now they play their first road game with some pressure on them not to start 0-2. Miami is a dog again, flying high after an impressive win at rival New England, 17-16. QB Tua Tagovailoa keeps getting better and is helped by speedy rookie WR Jaylen Waddle (61 yards and a TD), who averaged 3.6 yards of separation against the Patriots. Miami is 17-8 ATS when playing with six or fewer days of rest. NFL home teams that had a winning record the previous season are 75-37 ATS off a victory against a division rival. And if the team they're playing also had a winning record the previous season, the home team is 39-12 ATS. Play Miami.