2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 29, 2015
This pick was released to clients on November 25, 2015 at 10:49PM ET.
Buffalo at Kansas City
Sunday 11/29 01:00 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Buffalo +7 (-125) (risk 1.5 to return 2.7) RESULT: loss
1 unit on Game Total OVER 41.5 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95) RESULT: win
Buffalo is a road dog again but the Bills are 3-1 away form home. They face a Kansas City offense that is mostly about running the football, but the Bills are strong up front, as we saw Monday night against New England, as they are #10 in the NFL against the run. Buffalo is 9-4-1 ATS against the AFC, 4-1 ATS on the road and 7-1 ATS after a defeat, and are a strong bounce-back team. Kansas City is home after a two-game road trip but the Chiefs are 1-2 at home. The Chiefs are off a terrific defensive game, but they are 1-6 ATS after allowing fewer than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Kansas City is also 3-1-1 OVER the total following a victory. The Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last four trips to Kansas City and this is a low NFL total with the weather very good Sunday in KC. Take Buffalo and the OVER.
|Kansas City ChiefsChiefs||0||14||10||6||30|