2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 02, 2011

02

Buffalo at Cincinnati

Sunday 10/02 01:00 PM Eastern

3 units on Cincinnati PICK () (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: WIN

Not many people projected Buffalo as the only unbeaten team in the AFC at this point. The Bills have emerged as a serious contender at 3-0, and a lot of that has been achieved with an emerging Ryan Fitzpatrick at QB. He is posting a career best in QB rating and completion percentage and has his lowest interception percentage of his career. But, will they be able to avoid the letdown here? They exhausted themselves last week coming back to beat New England. That was a hugely important statement game for the Bills who had lost 15 straight to the Pats. They did not. Now what? They must travel to Cincinnati which can't motivate them. Cincinnati was picked to be a bottom-dweller this year, they have a rookie QB instead of Tom Brady, and the Bill has beaten them eight straight times, covering the spread in seven of those. Bottom line, it will be very hard for the Bills to bring their "A" game here. This game will be a true test for the Bills both mentally and physically. The Bengals are deceptively better than they appear and have been a force on defense ranking No. 4 against both the run and the pass. Fitzpatrick will also be challenged as the Bengals have recorded nine sacks this season. Cincinnati's rookie QB had some problems against San Francisco last week, but remember that he looked crisp and poised in weeks one and two. He'll be on and off this year but he can certainly hold his own. This line is inflated off a huge Buffalo win and all the attention given to them. The Bengals defense will offer more resistance than the Bills have seen all year. Take the points (buy to +3.5 if you can at -120, or take them at +3 points at +100).

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