2021 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 05, 2021
This pick was released to clients on December 03, 2021 at 1:21PM ET.
Baltimore at Pittsburgh
Sunday 12/05 04:25 PM Eastern
2 units on Pittsburgh +5 (-105) (risk 2 to return 3.9) RESULT: win
2 units on Game Total UNDER 44 -105 (risk 2 to return 3.9) RESULT: win
Game of the Year - Baltimore is struggling mightily to score points and barely pulled out a 16-10 win over Cleveland on Sunday. Plus, the Ravens have averaged only 14 points their last three games. Pittsburgh coach Mike Tomlin says some changes are coming this week with schemes and personnel, and the Steelers aren't used to being blown out as they were against the Bengals on Sunday. Lamar Jackson was intercepted four times, and only the Browns' own ineptness on offense gave the Ravens an opportunity to pull out a victory. Pittsburgh won both meetings last year, and the Steelers are 34-16-3 ATS their past 53 games as underdogs (17-4-2 ATS as home dogs). The underdog is 20-7-3 in the past 30 meetings between these clubs - it's almost always close! The Ravens are 1-5 ATS following an ATS win and 9-3 UNDER following any win. The Ravens are also 16-5 UNDER their past 21 games after giving up fewer than 15 points their previous game. Pittsburgh is 7-3 UNDER as a home dog. Baltimore has been deluged by injuries, and opposing defenses appear to finally have learned something about how to defend Jackson. There are key numbers in NFL betting and none more important than the almighty 3 points. When your power ratings indicate a team should be getting less than 3 (as mine do), and you are able to get more than 3 points, that's often magic. Play the Steelers ATS for my NFL Game of the Year and the UNDER for a Max Play.
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