2008 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 19, 2008
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Baltimore at Miami
Sunday 10/19 01:00 PM Eastern
5 units on Baltimore +3 (-110) (risk 5 to return 5) RESULT: WIN
The Ravens burned many with their no-show effort last week vs the Colts. The secondary was toasted to a crisp by Peyton Manning and the Ravens offense never got untracked. Very few want to touch Baltimore this week as a result. The Dolphins are quickly getting the public's attention. Much of that has to do with the wildcat offense which is getting a ton of media attention. Who hasn't seen highlights of Ronnie Brown busting touchdown after touchdown from the direct snap? The fact is, the wildcat produced 48 yards in 12 plays, worse than the rest of their offensive sets during their impressive win over San Diego. And if there is any sure thing in the NFL, it's that defenses adjust and close gaps that appear from time-to-time. Their's no doubt that the Dolphins success has come from their ability to finally have a running game. Ricky Williams and Brown have combined for 471 yards in the last three weeks, and just a tick over five yards per carry. It sounds good until you realize it was against three run stop units ranked #17, #21 and #24 in the league. They were stopped cold by the Jets (#3 vs the run) and Arizona (#11 vs the run), gaining just 100 yards on 2.8 ypc. Needless to say, they lost those two games! Now they face the toughest run stop unit in the NFL in the Ravens - a team allowing just 66 ypg. This defense was embarrassed last week and will be playing with a chip on its shoulder. Chad Pennington is no Peyton Manning and the Fins have no receivers near those of the Colts. I like the Ravens here, and they probably get the outright win.