Baltimore at Kansas City

The Baltimore Ravens have scored 111 points in three games, or 37 points per game. That appears to have the look of an ultra elite offense. The reason they are off to a 1-2 start is that their defense is allowing 32 points per game, and Henry is fumbling games away. The Chiefs are not scoring as much so far as we'd expect, but anytime you have Patrick Mahomes under center, they can score 30 very fast, and they will have many opportunities vs. the porous Ravens' defense. Baltimore is now 24-15 to the over in their last 39 games, including 11-6 in road games. Just one of the previous seven meetings between these teams has resulted in a game that went UNDER the total. I like the OVER.