2008 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 12, 2008

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.

12

Baltimore at Indianapolis

Sunday 10/12 01:00 PM Eastern

3 units on Baltimore +4 (-105) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: LOSS

Last year, Indianapolis was an 8.5 pokitn favorite in Baltimore. They went on to blow out the Ravens 44-20. This year, they again get the Ravens at home, and are just 4.5 point favorites. These teams have taken on different roles this season, and in a big way. The Colts up until this year had the type of offense that could score points in a hurry, and consistently throughout the game. In 2008, they have not put a consistent offensive game together yet. They have had halves in each of their four games where they have produced 10, 7, 0 and 6 points and that simply won't be good enough vs. the best defense they will have seen this year. The Ravens have yielded just five touchdowns all season. They will be up for the challenge, facing a team that totally destroyed them last year. How would you rate this Ravens offense compared to the Colts? Not in the same league? Peronnel wise, that's true. But on the field it isn't. The Ravens offense is averaging just 23 ypg less than the Colts! Now how about the Ravens defense vs the Colts? Baltimore is allowing 192 ypg to the Colts 353 ypg! We saw it when the Colts won the Super Bowl - without Bob Sanders, the Colts defense is one of the worst in the league. This single player makes more difference in a team than any other on any team. I like Baltimore coming off two straight losses which dropped them to .500. I don't hold those losses against them as they had both Pittsburgh and Tennessee beaten (in tough games, on the road), but just couldn't seal the deal. How much these teams have changed, and the value is on the Ravens - the better team - plus the points here.
FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Ravens 0 0 3 0 3
Colts 17 7 7 0 31

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