Baltimore at Cleveland

Baltimore has won three in a row, averaging 28.3 points. QB Lamar Jackson (15 TDs, one pick) is back and gets help from RB Derrick Henry (704 yards), who anchors a ground attack that averages 5.1 yards per carry, second in the NFL. The defense is 25th in points allowed and 26th in yards given up, on a 20-8 run OVER the total, including a 10-4 run OVER on the road. Cleveland QB Dillon Gabriel (7 TDs, 2 INTs, 869 yards) has been decent, but the defense is showing cracks, losing two in a row, allowing 59 points. Baltimore crushed Cleveland back in September, 41-17, part of a 6-4 run OVER the total, and the last four meetings between these teams have all gone OVER. Take Baltimore/Cleveland OVER the total.