Baltimore at Cincinnati

This is a tough situational spot for Baltimore. The Ravens come off a showdown with rival New England, an emotional game as they handed the defending champs their first defeat of the season. Now they head out on the road to a divisional rival. The Ravens are 3-9 ATS on field-turf and have failed to cover six in a row against losing teams. That included a 40-25 loss to the Browns, a 26-23 squeaker over Pittsburgh, and a 23-17 game against these Bengals as a double-digit home favorite. Cincinnati just held the Rams to 24 points on the road and are 9-4 ATS at home against teams with winning road records. The defense has allowed an average of 24.6 points the last six games with no team topping 27 points. The weather is getting colder and Cincy is 41-22 UNDER the total in the second half of the season against teams that average 7+ passing yards per attempt. With the Bengals 10-4 ATS on this field against the Ravens, back the home dog in a defensive duel. Back Cincinnati and the UNDER.