2020 Season NFL Football Past Picks
January 16, 2021
This pick was released to clients on January 20, 2022 at 1:23PM ET.
Baltimore at Buffalo
Saturday 01/16 08:15 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Baltimore +130 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 3.45) RESULT: loss
2 units on Game Total OVER 49.5 -102 (risk 2 to return 3.96) RESULT: loss
Buffalo escaped with a victory last week, but Indianapolis still piled up 472 yards of offense and even committed no turnovers while still losing to the Bills. Buffalo will have to play better defensively against the Ravens and Lamar Jackson, who ran for 136 yards, including a 48-yard touchdown, and passed for 179 yards while beating Tennessee 20-13 on Sunday. Just as important, Baltimore's defense contained 2,000-yard rusher Derrick Henry, who managed only 40 yards on 18 carries. Josh Allen threw two touchdown passes and rushed for one as Buffalo went OVER again, and the Bills now are 11-5-1 OVER on the season. The Bills had the #14 defense in the league in yards allowed, but in the playoffs so far, they are #10 defensively of the 12 teams. Baltimore averaged 29.3 points in the regular season and led the league by a wide margin in rushing yards (191.9 per game). The Bills are 11-2-1 OVER following a win and 16-7-1 OVER after having at least 250 passing yards their previous game. The weather forecast is mostly cloudy with highs in the mid-30s. Baltimore is a slight underdog. Play the Ravens on the moneyline and the OVER for a Max Play.