2010 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 11, 2010
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Baltimore at Atlanta
Thursday 11/11 08:20 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total OVER PICK (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: WIN
The Baltimore Ravens started the season really struggling on offense. Through their first four games, they topped the 20-points mark just once. That was then and this is now. They have really stepped it up over the last four games, topping the 20 mark in all four, averaging 28.5 points per game. As the offense has improved, the defense has stumbled. The Ravens held each of the first five opponents under 20 points, but they have given up 23 and 34 in two of their last three. Don't get me wrong, this Baltimore defense is stout. But, they are no longer even a top 5 defense (ranked 9th), so it is vulnerable. Atlanta is having trouble defending anyone right now. They are ranked in the bottom third in the league in total defense and ahead of only six NFL teams in defending the pass. They have allowed 28 points per game on average over their last three. Their offense can score. They are ranked #5 in total offense, producing 370 yards and 24.5 ppg. Atlanta has been a team of momentum. When they generate over 350 yards of offense in their previous game, the following game has been 17-5 to the OVER. Atlanta's about outscoring their foes and Baltimore's defense isn't quite as good as it has been. I like the OVER here.
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