2004 Season NFL Football Past Picks

September 12, 2004

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.

12

Atlanta at San Francisco

Sunday 09/12 04:15 PM Eastern

4 units on San Francisco +3.5 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)  RESULT: win

4 units on San Francisco +160 (moneyline) (risk 4 to return 10.4)  RESULT: loss

Will Mike Vick be ready? His very limited action in the preseason is a major red flag for me. Vick threw a total of 12 passes during the preseason. Yes, he is superman but even superman has his days off. This is a good example of public perception affecting a spread. Everyone loves Vick and everyone thinks San Francisco is going to be horrible this year. As a result, we get a home underdog of over a field goal - I love it! Why else do I like this game? Jim Mora, Jr. in his NFL regular season debut and playing under a fired-up hostile crowd is going to feel a little like a fish out of water. Atlanta has to travel cross-country for this one, too. Let us not forget Altanta had the worst defense in the league last year - dead last! Dogs that were winless in the preseason win about 7 out of 10 ATS in their opening games. Atlanta is 1-7 ATS in their last eight trips to San Francisco. Two units on the Niners +3.5 and two more units on San Francisco to win outright.

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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