2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks

December 04, 2011

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.

04

Atlanta at Houston

Sunday 12/04 01:00 PM Eastern

3 units on Houston PICK () (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: WIN

The Houston Texans caught a tough break a couple of weeks ago when QB Matt Schaub went down with a season-ending injury. They took yet another hit when Matt Leinhart went down with a season-ending injury as well, and were forced to turn to third string QB T.J. Yates. They regrouped and got it done vs. Jacksonville. The Texans signed Jake Delhomme as insurance, but Yates will get the start in this one. As a result, one of the best teams in the NFL is getting 3 points at home. It's an overreaction. The Texans aren't a team that has been winning on offense, and when trouble looms defenses usually step up and Houston has the best in the NFL this year (#1 in yards allowed and #2 in points allowed). Kudos to Wade Phillips. The guy can't deliver as a head coach but he's a helluva DC. The best part of what Yates did last week was that he didn't throw any INTs and managed the game well enough to preserve a win. I think with Schaub at QB the Texans would be close to a TD favorite here, so is Shaub really worth 10+ points on the line? The Falcons have failed in their last four as a favorite of a FG or less, and the Texans keep right on rolling and have not taken an ATS loss in five straight. Gary Kubiak is 9-2 ATS at home in December. Take the underrated Texans.
FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Falcons 0 3 7 0 10
Texans 3 7 0 7 17

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