2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 11, 2015
This pick was released to clients on October 09, 2015 at 10:39AM ET.
Arizona at Detroit
Sunday 10/11 04:05 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total OVER 44.5 -105 (risk 2 to return 3.9) RESULT: WIN
QB Carson Palmer makes a lot of difference in the Arizona Cardinals attack. He has paced the Cardinals offense to a 37 points per game average through their first four games, and it hasn't been smoke and mirrors. The Cardinals average 8.5 yards per pass attempt, and have become an elite passing team, which has also helped the ground game to average 4.4 yards a tote. The Detroit defense no longer has a pass rush, and this looks like a good opportunity for Carson to exploit a rather average defense. Many forget that Carson led Arizona to a 6-0 record before getting injured last season, and at the time they were generating 25.8 ppg. The Lions have averaged 26.5 ppg at home with Stafford at QB in his 35 games here over the last five years. While Arizona has been good defensively, they have been a lot more less effective on the road. The Lions have payed OVER following a strong defensive effort in their last game, when they allowed 14 or fewer points to the tune of 19-6-2 mark to the OVER. Arizona is now 74-34-2 in their last 110 games with offensive momentum, if they generated greater than 350 yards in their previous contest. Under Bruce Arians, the Cards are 12-4 OVER as a favorite. The OVER gets the call in this one.
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