This pick was released to clients on November 30, 2023 at 9:54AM ET.
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New Orleans (NFL-302) ATS + Dallas at New Orleans (NFL) UNDER

December 2, 2021
img8:20 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
1 unit on 2 Team Parlay: (+281) (risk 1 to return 3.81)
Result:
LOSS

Dallas brought in a new defensive coordinator in Dan Quinn and the defense has improved greatly, #13 versus the run and in points given up. It's the offense that's in a slump dealing with injuries to WRs Amari Cooper (Covid-19) and CeeDee Lamb (concussion), while star RB Ezekiel Elliott (knee) is not 100%. Dallas is on a 1-3 SU/ATS run, including losing 30-16 at home as a double-digit favorite against Denver, and last week's 36-33 home loss to Las Vegas as a TD-plus favorite. Dallas is 4-9 ATS following a spread loss. New Orleans turns to mobile QB Taysom Hill tonight, benching Trevor Siemian after a string of poor performances. The Saints have one of the best head coaches in the league in Sean Payton, who is 48-27 ATS as an underdog, including 25-9 ATS as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. New Orleans also has injuries on offense and will lean on a healthy defense that is #12 in the NFL in points surrendered and third against the run. The Saints have covered six in a row after a defeat and they are 77-49 ATS against defenses that allow 24+ points per contest. New Orleans is also 16-5 ATS against pass defenses that give up 235+ passing yards per game, and 27-16 UNDER the total versus defenses that surrender 6+ yards per play. Combine the Saints +6.5 (-103) with the Dallas - New Orleans total UNDER 46 (-107) into a 2-team parlay at +281 odds.

FINAL
1
2
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F
Dallas Cowboys img
7
6
7
7
27
New Orleans Saints
0
7
3
7
17
consensus consensus
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