The Los Angeles Chargers are having trouble drawing fans to their new home. Their weak offense won't help matters as they are averaging only 16 points per game while starting the season 0-3. Philip Rivers threw three interceptions in the Chargers' 24-10 loss to the Chiefs and he was 20-of-40 for 237 yards. The Chargers gained 104 yards on the ground on 4.0 yards per carry but the defense allowed Kansas City 189 rushing yards on 7.6 yards per rush. Meanwhile, Philadelphia edged the Giants 27-24 as Carson Wentz went 21-of-31 for 176 yards and no picks. New York was held to 2.9 yards per carry and Eli Manning threw two more interceptions. Philly opened the season by beating Washington and its only loss was to the Chiefs, who are arguably one of the top two teams in the AFC. The Chargers are 0-7-1 ATS their last eight games overall dating to last season and 5-18 ATS their last 23 home games and their home field now may be more of a disadvantage than an advantage. The Eagles are 11-2 ATS as road underdogs after playing the Giants going back several years and are a team on the rise compared to the Chargers, who have lost eight in a row. Take the Eagles.
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 68% of the public bets were on Los Angeles Chargers on the -1 ATS. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Los Angeles would win by a score of 25.1 to 25.0 with Los Angeles winning on the moneyline, Philadelphia winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 52% of the public bets were on Philadelphia Eagles on the +1.5 ATS. 51% of the public money was on Philadelphia Eagles to win on the moneyline. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Philadelphia would win by a score of 23.4 to 23.1 with Philadelphia winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
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NFL
Philadelphia at Los Angeles
4:05 PM Eastern
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 72% of the public bets were on Philadelphia Eagles on the -7.5 ATS. 69% of the public money was on Philadelphia Eagles to win on the moneyline. And, 77% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Philadelphia would win by a score of 26.0 to 24.7 with Philadelphia winning on the moneyline, Los Angeles winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on Los Angeles Chargers on the -1 ATS. 69% of the public money was on Philadelphia Eagles to win on the moneyline. And, 60% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Los Angeles would win by a score of 24.3 to 23.2 with Los Angeles winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Philadelphia would win by a score of 22.4 to 22.3 with Philadelphia winning on the moneyline, Los Angeles winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
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NFL
Los Angeles at Philadelphia
1:00 PM Eastern
You heard it here in this newsletter last week. San Diego is for real! They are only 3-3 but as discussed last week, they are the best team with that record in the league. If you look below the surface, it's obvious. I believe they are one of the league's top 3 teams right behind Cincinnati and Indianapolis. Here, they get over a field goal against the has-been Eagles. That's a bit tongue-in-cheek. The Eagles aren't that bad. But, this line is off - more so than any other line this week. San Diego should be a pick'em or a favorite here and I think they have an excellent shot at winning this game outright. San Diego has proved they were not a fluke last year. They have the best player in the league bar-none in LaDanian Tomlinson. This guy is close to Barry Sanders and Emmitt Smith good. He has moves and power and speed and versatility. No one, other than Pittsburgh, has been able to slow him down this season. Philly's defense certainly will not. Drew Brees and Antonio Gates round out an offense that is confident and can flat out score points. The Cowboys racked up 167 yards on the ground against the Eagles. LT could do better. Philly is coming off a devastating loss to the Cowboys. It was so lopsided that I believe their psyche is wounded. They were dominated physically in that game and the loss signaled an end to their NFC East dominance. They have no running game and McNabb just isn't in the groove he was last year - maybe due to the injury. Yes, I know that the Eagles are 6-0 after a bye in the Reid era and 17-3 following a loss this decade. But, things - they are a changin'. This is not the same Eagles team and it cerainly isn't the same Chargers team. Wrong team favored. Take the Chargers plus the points for three stars and if you're feeling as good about this as I am, consider a money-line play on San Diego at +160!
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