Indiana at Memphis

Indiana has lost five straight, most recently 108-104 to Atlanta on Monday, and its 2-6 record is 12th in the Eastern Conference. Memphis is 6-1 and has outscored opponents by 12.9 points a game, while Indiana has been outscored by 3.8. The Pacers' five straight losses came by 8, 5, 20, 8 and 4, and only the one at Miami, 145-125, got away from them. Indiana won 136-109 at Brooklyn and 123-120 at New Orleans in October, and across all eight games it has covered four times. Our bankroll needs Indiana to cover a little more than half the time. Indiana scores 111.8 points a game and Memphis allows 110.1. Both clubs played Monday, so neither has a rest edge. Memphis covered its first six games before Monday's 135-134 overtime loss to New Orleans at home, a game in which Ty Jerome scored 40. Two of those covers came in narrow road wins, 111-108 at Golden State and 110-105 at Utah. Three of Memphis's seven games have finished within five points, so I side with Indiana on the spread tonight.