Wyoming at Fresno State

New Mexico Bowl - University Stadium - Albuquerque, NM. Fresno State will be making their 10th Bowl appearance in the last 11 years, and their second straight trip to the New Mexico Bowl. They lost to Colorado State last year. It should also be noted that in the nine previous Bowls, the Bulldogs winning margin exceeded this pointspread just once, and that was a 12-point win. The Cowboys last appeared in a Bowl in 2004. They were posted as a 12.5 point underdog to UCLA and won the game outright. This will be just their second Bowl appearance since 1993. Wyoming was just 6-6 on the season, but they were 7-2 ATS in their final nine games and should be excited to be here. The public likes a team that can score and that can result in juiced lines. Fresno State certainly has shown that ability as they averaged 34.3 points per game this season. The problem for the Bulldogs is that they gave up nearly 28 ppg. They allowed 132 points in their last three! The Bulldogs won four of their last five to get here, but did not have a winning margin greater than 10 points in the process. Big underdogs in Bowls have a long history of getting the money as they usually turn out to be the more motivated team. The Bulldogs carry just an 8-22 ATS mark in their last 30 as a favorite while Wyoming has built off an ATS win to go 27-13 ATS in their next game. Fresno is just 2-11 ATS the past two seasons when coming off a road game, and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 after allowing 50+ in their last game. Under Pat Hill, this team is 39-53 ATS as a favorite including 15-25 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. I think the points are too generous here.