Wisconsin at Michigan

The Wisconsin Badgers won 10 or more games over an 11 year period eight times ending after the 2019 season. The last five years (not counting the Covid season), they have not won 10 games or more in any of them. The Badgers are 2-2 on the season and the staple running game has not clicked as they are averaging just 3.3 YPC. While the running game is soft, the passing game has been very good generating 7.4 YPA. Wisconisn did lose the two games vs. Alabama and Maryland. Michigan is 3-1 but haven't exactly faced a strong schedule. They lost to Oklahoma by 11, just squeaked out a three-point win vs. Nebraska, and managed just a 17 point win vs. New Mexico. The Badgers are not going to be a 10 win team, but I don't think Michigan wins 10+ either. Wisconsin is closer than the line indicates here. I like Wisconsin.