Wisconsin at Iowa

Iowa lost 13-10 at Minnesota last Saturday and fell out of the AP poll. The game also cost the Hawkeyes Kamari Moulton, their leading rusher, who is done for the season. Kirk Ferentz said Tuesday the plan is to start Hank Brown at quarterback and play it by ear. Iowa has gone back and forth between Brown and Jeremy Hecklinski all season. Both clubs are 5-2, and Iowa scored 14 against Ohio State and 10 against Minnesota in its two losses. Wisconsin's defense has allowed 20 in a 24-20 win at Penn State, 3 against Michigan State, 17 at UCLA and 7 against USC. The Badgers beat the Trojans 24-7 last Saturday. Wisconsin's offense scored 24, 31, 7 and 24 in those same four games, and it won three of them. Wisconsin opened the year with a 41-13 loss at Notre Dame and has allowed 11.8 points per game over its last four. The Badgers haven't needed a big offensive night to win, and that matters on the road against a team thin in the backfield. At a plus price, our bankroll doesn't need Wisconsin to win most of the time, just often enough. Iowa is without its leading rusher and unsettled at quarterback against that defense, which is why I make Wisconsin on the moneyline the right side Saturday.