Caden Creel ran for more than 200 yards in Jacksonville State's 24-0 win at New Mexico State on October 28. The quarterback also scored on a seven-yard run in last year's 29-27 win at Sam Houston, a game that produced 56 combined points. Jacksonville State has scored 27 or more points in five of its eight games and averages 26.9 a game. Sam Houston is 1-7 and has scored three points in three of its last four games, the latest a 24-3 loss at Missouri State on October 27 in which it still gained 284 yards. Sam Houston's defense has allowed 24 or more points in five of eight games, including 49 at Texas Tech, 35 at Liberty and 30 to New Mexico State, and it gives up 25.1 a game. In my count, Jacksonville State's own games have reached 51 or more combined points five times in eight tries, with finals of 56, 56, 58, 53 and 51. Sam Houston's games have reached 54 or more three times, with 59 against Nicholls, 63 at Texas Tech and 54 against New Mexico State. Our bankroll needs the OVER to land a little more than half the time. A defense that porous sits across from an offense that runs through its quarterback, and I'm on the OVER Saturday night.
This Pro Pick was released to clients on November 05, 2026 at 2:30PM ET.
Sam Houston State at Jacksonville State
November 7, 2026
1.5 units on Game Total OVER 47.5 -104 (risk 1.5 to return 2.94)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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