Washington at Oregon

Washington has had its two worst defensive games on the road, losing 40-32 at UCLA and 45-38 at Arizona State. They were actually favored in both those games, including as 2-TD chalk at Arizona State. Washington is on a 3-12 spread run in Pac-12 action and is 20-36 ATS after having won five or six of their last seven. The defense has been one of the worst in the country on third down (50.93%) and faces an explosive Oregon offense that is second in the country in total yards per game (520.6) behind QB Bo Nix (22 TDs, 5 INTs), plus ninth in scoring (39.8 ppg). Oregon has won eight straight and is 41-24 ATS after scoring 42+ points or in two straight games, as well as 74-48 ATS off a Pac-12 win by 10+ points. This is a bad matchup for a Washington team that is on a 10-18 spread run versus Oregon. Play Oregon.