Washington at Michigan

Both of these teams had higher hopes for this season than they currently have. Washington is 5-1 on the season, and Michigan is 4-2, but neither enters this game in the top 25. I think the winner of this game will vastly lift their playoff chances. Washington and Michigan are a dead heat on defense, while Washington holds a slight edge offensively. Michigan has struggled to score against the better defenses it has faced. They scored just 13 points against Oklahoma and 13 against USC as well. The oddsmakers are giving too much on the line because this game will be played in the Big House. The padding of the lines is quite overdone when Michigan is home, but over their last 17 home games, they are 6-11 ATS. Washington fits the profile of a team with certain statistical advantages, having hit 56% in 250 games played. Make the play on Washington.