Western Kentucky at Sam Houston State

Sam Houston’s defense has given up 49 points to Texas Tech and 35 to Liberty in its last two games, and 32.8 a game across its four FBS opponents. Western Kentucky’s defense has been run over more often: 49 to Nevada, 70 to Georgia, 38 to Indiana, and 34 to New Mexico State, for 40.8 a game across its five FBS opponents, including Missouri State’s 13. All five of those offenses gained at least 340 yards. Western Kentucky just scored 34 on 464 yards against Missouri State, its best output against an FBS opponent this season, while Sam Houston has scored 14 or fewer in each of its last two games and managed 3 at Liberty on 243 yards. Respected money is on the OVER too, with the dollars running ahead of the ticket count. I’m taking the OVER tonight.