UL Lafayette at South Alabama

Neither Louisiana nor South Alabama is very good. The Jaguars, 2-6 overall, 1-3 in the Sun Belt Conference, certainly can't be trusted as a home favorite. They have failed to cover the past four times in this role, including all three this season. Not only did the Jaguars fail to cover, but they also lost straight up to Coastal Carolina, 38-20, as a 16-point favorite, and fell to Arkansas State, 15-14, as 9-point home chalk. Louisiana is also 2-6 overall and 1-3 in the Sun Belt. The statistics for both teams are very close. The Ragin’ Cajuns give up just one more point per game on average than South Alabama. They have covered seven of the last 10 times they've been road underdogs. This is a revenge spot for Louisiana. The Ragin’ Cajuns were 6.5-point favorites against the Jaguars last season and lost, 24-22. That was just the second time in the last nine meetings that Louisiana has lost to South Alabama. The Ragin’ Cajuns have won each of their last four road games against South Alabama. This one falls under the "bad vs. bad" category, so I'm taking the points. Dogs in this series have covered seven of the past eight meetings. Take Louisiana.