Tulsa at Cincinnati

Tulsa is a big dog but has a strong offense behind QB Zach Smith (10 TDs, four INTs). Tulsa is 14-6 ATS against winning teams, including 10-2 ATS on the road versus a team with a winning home record. They are also on a 20-9 spread run on the road, plus 17-7-1 ATS when following a spread loss. They will be able to score on a Cincinnati defense that allows 139.5 yards rushing and 21.7 points per contest. The road team has covered four straight between these rivals, including a 40-37 OT game when they last met. Look for another close one and back the big underdog. Take Tulsa.