Troy at Texas State

Troy has had a tough schedule, but it has played well, losing 23-14 at South Carolina of the SEC, beating Southern Miss (21-9), and then topping Georgia Southern last week, 27-24. Troy is 12-5 ATS as a road favorite, 9-3 on Field-Turf, and 20-8 ATS on the road after allowing 125 or fewer rushing yards in two straight. They face a Texas State squad that has gone 17-60 over the last six-plus seasons. This Texas State team has no defense, surrendering 42, 59, and 31 points the last three games. One of those was a 42-28 loss to Incarnate Word while allowing 455 yards (376 passing). It was Incarnate Word's first win ever over an FBS team. The Texas State ground game averages 3.6 yards per rush, and sophomore QB Brady McBride has 9 TDs with 6 INTs while getting sacked 14 times. Troy has covered five of the last six meetings, including a 37-17 rout last year with an edge in yards, 488-254. Play Troy.