Toledo at Kentucky

Toledo doesn't run the football very well, averaging 3.5 yards per carry in 2024. They do have a good, mobile returning QB in Tucker Gleason, who ran for 364 yards. The defense is good after ranking 55th in the nation in total yards allowed and 48th in points (24.3 per game). The secondary is excellent, anchored by CBs Avery Smith and Nasir Bowers. They won at Mississippi State of the SEC last year, allowing 17 points and 66 rushing yards (2.4 yards per carry). Toledo is on a 7-4 run UNDER the total on the road. Kentucky is coming off a 4-8 campaign and has a lot of new looks (50 newcomers on the roster). Kentucky's offense was awful, ranking 114th nationally in total yards, 119th on third down (33.59%), and 124th in points (18.1 per game). They have a new quarterback in Zach Calzada and lost top wide receivers Dane Key (to Nebraska) and Barion Brown (to LSU). Kentucky is on a 7-5 run UNDER the total. Take Toledo/Kentucky UNDER the total.