Toledo at Florida International

Toledo rolled a very bad Colorado team two weeks ago 54-38. Outside of that, they have really struggled. They gave up 52 points to Purdue in their opener and lost 38-0 to Ohio State last week. Granted, Florida International is not a Big Ten team, but Toledo just isn't worthy of the road favorite role. The Golden Panthers are on the uptick. They returned 10 of 11 offensive starters from last year including their QB. They went 1-11 in 2007 and 5-7 last season. This year they are 0-2 to start, but they had to play Alabama on the road in their opener and again head to the road last week vs. Rutgers. They gave Rutgers a fight, losing by 8 points as a 16 point underdog. They struggled on offense in both of those first two games but they now face a team giving up over 500 yards and 42 points per game. I like the home dog here.