Toledo at Bowling Green

This line started at 4.5 and has climbed to the magic 7 number as the money pours in on Bowling Green. BG has won three in a row in convincing fashion while Toledo is off a 21 point loss. But, we think this is an overreaction to one game for Toledo. That loss was a tough road game against a better opponent. Prior to that loss, they had won three straight SU and ATS, averaging 55 points per game. This is a good offense that can surpass what Bowling Green can do. Defense is another matter as BG has a clear advantage there. We just feel 7 points is too much considering BG is 1-10 ATS in their last eleven home games. We like the Rockets plus the points.