Texas Tech at Kansas State

Kansas State has recovered from a 1-3 start to win three of its past four games, and the Wildcats are getting their most points at home since 2021. Avery Johnson threw for 231 yards and two TDs with no interceptions in their 42-17 rout of Kansas on Saturday. Kansas State outgained the Jayhawks 371-247, and wide receiver Jayce Brown totaled 160 yards on four catches, including a 78-yard score from Johnson. The teams did not meet last year, but the Wildcats have won the past eight meetings with Texas Tech while covering the number in the previous seven. Texas Tech will start QB Behren Morton as Will Hammond is likely out for the season with an injury. Morton is also dealing with injuries, but he has thrown for 1,501 yards and 13 TDs this season. Kansas State is 13-3 ATS in Week 10, and it has won 15 of 18 home games outright. The Red Raiders have gone UNDER five of six games, and they are 4-0 UNDER after allowing fewer than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Texas Tech showed some vulnerability when it was outgained 394-276 in a 26-22 loss at Arizona State on Oct. 18. Take Kansas State ATS, and bet the UNDER.