Texas State at Nevada

Texas State was able to bring in a proven starting QB in Layne Hatcher, who comes over from Arkansas State where he threw 19 TDs last year. They can control the ball and the clock returning RB Calvin Hill on an offense that averaged 149 yards per game in 2021. This team plays hard for Head Coach Jake Spavial with a road win at Florida International (23-17) in overtime last season, a 33-31 victory over South Alabama in four OTs, a 29-20 loss to Baylor of the Big 12 as a +14 dog, and a 24-22 win at Arkansas State in its last road contest. Texas State has covered four of its last five on fieldturf, plus is on a 24-8 run UNDER the total on the road. Nevada has a new coach in Ken Wilson with a new playbook while rebuilding a team that lost its best players. They beat New Mexico State in the opener, 23-12, but had just 257 total yards against a team that was 2-10 in 2021. Nevada mostly ran the football (179 yards) in the opener, but Arkansas State has huge run stuffers on the defensive line, so back the visitors in a defensive duel. Play Texas State + UNDER the total.