Texas at Baylor

Texas is winless on the road this season, with their new-look spread offense erratic and a terrible run defense. Banged-up Texas is coming off a 48-45 loss to Texas Tech on Thanksgiving and will suffer consecutive losing seasons for the first time since 1988-89. The Longhorns are on a 4-9 ATS run, 0-4 ATS on the road. Baylor leads the nation in scoring (50.8 points) and total offense (616 yards per game) and appears headed for the Sugar Bowl with a victory. Sophomore quarterback Chris Johnson has had to step in because of injuries, but has some big weapons at his disposal, including running back Shock Linwood (1,298 yards, 10 touchdowns), who should have a big day against a rushing defense ranked #101 in the nation at 203.2 yards allowed per game. Baylor WR Corey Coleman leads the country with 20 touchdowns and is third in the nation at 119.5 yards per game while averaging 19.6 yards per catch. The Bears are #13 in the nation in passing yards at 324.5 per game. Baylor is 26-8 ATS at home and 20-8-1 ATS against a team with a losing record. The Longhorns have lost four of the last five meetings (0-5 ATS), including a 28-7 decision in 2014. All Baylor in this one.