Tennessee at Mississippi State

Mississippi State will look to go 5-0 after routing Northern Illinois 38-10, marking the third UNDER in four games for the Bulldogs, who have covered five in a row dating back to last season. The schedule hasn't been too tough, but it still is a remarkable turnaround coming off a 2-10 season. The Bulldogs accumulated 292 yards rushing against the Huskies and Blake Shapen threw for 160 yards and a TD. Tennessee rebounded from an excruciating loss to Georgia and routed UAB 56-24. The Volunteers ran for 235 yards on 43 carries. Mississippi State would like to avenge its 33-14 loss in last year's meeting. Tennessee is 4-8 ATS in its past 12 road games. Mississippi State yielded 34 points per game in 2024, but it has improved dramatically on defense, holding opponents to 3.9 yards per carry and 136.5 rushing yards per game, down from more than 200 last year. Take Mississippi State to cover.