TCU danced and dodged its way to a 12-0 start winning a string of squeakers. That run ended in the Big 12 title game, a 31-28 OT loss to Kansas State. The defense allowed 404 yards (205 rushing) and 4.7 yards per carry, while the offense turned it over twice and was 2-of-15 on third down. And it was just three games ago that TCU squeaked by a 6-7 Baylor squad, 29-28, surrendering 501 yards (232 rushing). TCU coach Sonny Dykes is 10-23 ATS when facing teams with winning percentages above 75%. Unbeaten Michigan has great balance on offense behind QB J.J. McCarthy (20 TDs, 3 INTs) and a ground attack that averages 243 yards (fifth in the country). And the defense is fifth in the nation in points surrendered (12.8 pg), 16th on third down (32.42%), plus third in total yards. Michigan met its toughest challenges with a pair of routs over Top 20 teams, a 41-17 win over Penn State, and a 45-23 triumph at Ohio State. Michigan is on a 19-8 spread run, including 16-7 ATS as a favorite. Play Michigan.
This pick was released to clients on December 29, 2022 at 12:44PM ET.
TCU vs. Michigan
December 31, 2022
4:10 PM Eastern
1 unit on Michigan -7.5 (-109) (risk 1 to return 1.92)
TCU Horned Frogs
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