TCU at Arizona

Arizona allowed 34 points at Texas Tech last Saturday with cornerback Jay'Vion Cole out, and Cole is out again Friday night. Noah Fifita threw for 417 yards in that loss and the Wildcats still scored 26. Arizona has scored 34 or more in six of its eight games and has allowed 24 or more in four of them. TCU is 4-4 to Arizona's 6-2, and its offense averages 23.3 points a game. The Horned Frogs' defense allows 14.1 points a game, and Fifita has thrown for at least 230 yards in every game he has played this season. I give Cole's absence the most weight in this game, since it hits the pass defense that Craig's 300-yard games test. TCU's four losses came by 5, 8, 7 and 4 points. Jaden Craig has thrown for 300 or more yards in four of eight games, 372 against West Virginia among them, and Arizona's secondary is without a starting cornerback. TCU scored 20 against West Virginia and 22 against Kansas in its last two games. A team that has never lost by more than one score and can throw on this defense has a live path to winning outright, and our bankroll needs TCU to win a little more than one game in four on the moneyline. Back TCU with the points, take a flyer on the moneyline, and play the OVER Friday night.