Syracuse at North Carolina

Syracuse is 2-4 and 0-4 in the ACC, and North Carolina is 4-2. The Orange's four conference losses came by 3, 14, 3 and 8 points to Cal, Pitt, Virginia and Louisville. Syracuse scored 42, 25 and 26 points in its last three games and is averaging 31.7 per game for the season. North Carolina is averaging 23.5, which ranks 99th in FBS, and its rushing offense gains 116.2 yards per game, 120th. The Tar Heels' last two wins were 21-17 at Pitt and 24-20 at Duke, each by four points. Syracuse throws for 291.0 yards per game, 12th in the country, and Carolina's defense is 113th on third down, with opponents converting 43.3% of the time. Syracuse converts 41.8% of its own third downs, 60th, and it ranks fifth in time of possession while Carolina ranks 130th at 27:00. Syracuse gives up 98.0 penalty yards per game, 138th in FBS, and its red zone scoring rate of 78.1% is 111th. Carolina's defense allows 19.2 points per game, 34th. I'm taking Syracuse on the spread Saturday night.