Rebuilding Stanford went 3-9 last year and has a new coach. That included a 41-28 loss at home to USC giving up 505 yards (341 passing). USC was up 35-14 at the half and led 41-14 in the fourth. Stanford is in a difficult situational spot, playing its second straight road game. And they played last week in Honolulu, Hawaii, a 2,500-mile trip as the defense surrendered 355 passing yards. The Cardinal lost Tanner McKee to the NFL, so sophomore QB Ashton Daniels started last week. Stanford is on a 6-19 spread run, including 4-16 ATS as a dog. USC is loaded with talent, headlined by Heisman Trophy-winning junior QB Caleb Williams and a defense that led the nation in turnover margin (+22). They have two games under their belt, ripping San José State (56-28) and Nevada (66-14). College football home favorites like the Trojans that averaged 6.4+ yards per play in the previous season returning 8+ offensive starters are 23-5 ATS in the first month versus an opponent returning five or fewer defensive starters. USC is also 25-12 ATS at home after scoring 24+ first-half points. Play USC.
This pick was released to clients on September 07, 2023 at 10:56AM ET.
Stanford at USC
September 9, 2023
10:30 PM Eastern
1.5 units on USC -29 (-110) (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
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