South Florida at Syracuse

South Florida, posted as underdogs in all but one of their previously linedgames, finds themselves as a huge road favorite here. Is it deserved? Not really. Sure, the Cuse has been a MAJOR dissapointment, having gone 1-7 this year and 2-6 ATS. They've lost their last five both SU and ATS. So, no one wants a piece of the Orangemen here. Except me. Their two ATS wins have come at home this year. In their 5 home games, they've lost by an average of 1.6 points - yet they get eight here. Syracuse is a perfect 6-0 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games over the last 3 seasons and since 1992, they are is 34-19 ATS at home after the first month of the season. Home underdogs with a poor passing game (130-175 PY/game) facing an average passing defense (175-230 PY/game) are 56-21 ATS (73%) over the last 5 seasons. I have a personal home dog system for which this qualifies as well. Too many points. Take the Orange for one star.