South Florida at Miami Florida

South Florida stunned Florida 18-16 on Saturday while taking advantage of 11 penalties for 103 yards by the Gators, who also got some poor time management from head coach Billy Napier. The Bulls might not be so fortunate against Miami, which won last year's meeting 50-15, and South Florida is 1-4 ATS its past five against ACC teams, 1-5 ATS against the Hurricanes. The Bulls have gone OVER six of nine and Miami is on a 13-5 OVER run. Miami is 7-1-1 OVER in non-conference games, 6-1-1 OVER after a win by more than 20 points. Miami followed up a 27-24 victory over Notre Dame with a 45-3 rout of FCS Bethune Cookman. Carson Beck was nearly perfect completing 22 of 24 for 267 yards and two TDs with no interceptions. Despite South Florida's big upset, the Bulls still allowed 355 yards of offense, but Florida three times had to settle for field goals. Look for the Hurricanes to have more success getting into the end zone. Take Miami to cover, and play the OVER.