San Jose State at Utah State

Utah State is 2-7 on the season and they are laying nearly two touchdowns? This team has exactly one win over a FBS team on the season, and it was by the narrowest of margins as they took down Louisiana Tech 23-21. Things certainly haven't gone so well for the San Jose State Spartans either as they have been blown out by 20 or more five times, but who beat this team by a large margin? Try USC, Stanford, Boise State, Nevada and Fresno State – all beat them by 20. I'm sorry but Utah State isn't close to any of those teams and no one else on the Spartans’ schedule has beaten them by more than 10 including a 7-3 Idaho team and an 8-1 Utah team. This Utah State team has yet to cover as a favorite of 2+ points where they stand at 0-3 ATS on the season. Meanwhile the Spartans are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 vs. a team with a losing record. San Jose State gets creamed by good teams but they are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games vs. losing teams and 23-6 ATS in their last 29 games vs. teams at .250 or worse. Too many points here and I'm riding with San Jose State in this one.