Purdue at Iowa

Unbeaten Iowa is getting all the headlines after defeating three ranked opponents, but this Purdue team is very good and is a tough matchup. Iowa is not a great offensive team, preferring to ground and pound. They scored 24 on Colorado State, 27 on Iowa State, and 23 on Penn State last week. The Hawkeyes ground game is averaging just 3.2 yards per rush. Iowa is 3-11 ATS as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points, plus 21-34 ATS as chalk of 10.5 to 21 points. Purdue has a solid defense of its own, surrendering 15.4 points per game. Purdue is 15-6 ATS as an underdog, 18-6-2 ATS as a road dog, and 14-5-2 ATS on the road versus a team with a winning home record. Purdue has won three of the last four meetings with Iowa, including 24-20 last year, and the road team is 9-2 ATS when these rivals clash. Play Purdue.