Oregon at Ohio State

Ohio State scored 18 points at USC on October 31 and lost by 12, its first game without quarterback Julian Sayin. Oregon won at that same USC on September 26, 41-27, a 14-point margin. Ohio State is 6-2 and 4-0 at home, and Oregon is 5-3, with running back Jordon Davison out for this game. All four of those home wins came with Sayin leading the team in passing, by margins of 53, 56, 23 and 29 points. Without him, the Buckeyes scored 18 against a USC defense that Oregon had put up 41 on. Dylan Raiola, who has started in place of Dante Moore, threw for 336 yards in Oregon's 34-26 win over Northwestern, which was ranked 20th, on the same day the Buckeyes lost at USC. Oregon also won at USC with Raiola throwing for 289 yards. The Ducks have beaten two of their three ranked opponents this season, and the losses at Oklahoma State and UCLA came by eight points and two. At these odds, the Saturday afternoons Oregon wins pay for the ones it doesn't, so I'm taking the Ducks on the moneyline.